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贾新光:2005年1-7月汽车工业产销分析

——摘自搜狐网(http://auto.sohu.com)

 一.当月产销分析

  与6月相比,7月汽车产销量有明显的下降,乘用车中只有MPV和SUV产量环比增长,SUV销量增长;商用车中客车销量略有增长。

  7月全国汽车产量完成44.49万辆,比上月减少10.72%,比去年同月增长25.62%;销售完成43.32万辆,比上月减少16.11%,比去年同月增长25.18%。

  7月乘用车生产32.82万辆,环比下降10.69%;销售31.56万辆,环比下降15.77%。其中基本型乘用车生产24.41万辆,环比下降7.67%;销售23.58万辆,环比下降8.81%。

  7月商用车生产11.67万辆,环比下降10.80%;销售11.76万辆,环比下降17.00%。其中客车生产1.33万辆,环比下降10.91%;销售1.47万辆,环比增长1.57%。货车生产7.75万辆,环比下降7.24%;销售7.46万辆,环比下降16.71%。

  二、累计产销量分析

  1-7月累计汽车产量同比有小幅度增长,累计销量有较大幅度增长。累计产量完成326.13万辆,比同期增长7.59%;销售完成322.40万辆,比同期增长11.27%。

  乘用车累计生产218.03万辆,同比增长7.43%;销售215.64万辆,同比增长14.07%。其中基本型乘用车累计生产149.95万辆,同比增长7.65%;销售146.38万辆,同比增长13.88%。

  在乘用车中,MPV产销量同比增长幅度最大,分别达到28.38%和33.03%。MPV的增长主要集中在1.6-2.0升排量,2.5-3.0升呈下降趋势,3.0升大排量MPV增长了120%...

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等速万向联轴节及防尘套组件
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如果发动机,驱动轴,转向系统或悬挂系统发出非正常噪音,就应考虑对您的爱车进行一个全面的检查。

可以选择一段平整的路面开始路试。路试一般包括:在公路上以正常速度行驶、几个急转弯、加速行驶、巡航速度行驶等。

路试时要注意观察和聆听是否有下列迹象:

  • 转弯时,如果听到啪啪声或嘀哒声,可能说明外球笼磨损。







如果球笼或滚道磨损,可能导致汽车在转弯时发出嘀哒声。图片由Moog汽车公司提供。
  • To help identify the exact cause, put the vehicle in reverse and back up in a circle. If the noise gets louder, the outer joints should be replaced.
  • A clunk during accelerating, decelerating, or putting an automatic transaxle into drive can be caused by excessive play in the inner joint on FWD vehicles. A clunking noise when putting an automatic transmission into gear or when starting out from a stop usually indicates excessive play in an inner or outer joint. Be warned, though, that the same kind of noise can also be produced by excessive backlash in the differential gears and transmission. Alternately accelerating and decelerating in reverse while driving straight can reveal worn inner plunge joints. A bad joint clunks or shudders.
  • A humming or growling noise is sometimes due to inadequate lubrication of either the inner or outer CV joint. It is more often due to worn or damaged wheel bearings, a bad intermediate shaft bearing on equal-length half shaft transaxles, or worn shaft bearings within the transmission.
  • A shudder or vibration when accelerating is often caused by excessive play in either the inboard or outboard joint but more likely it is the inboard plunge joint. These vibrations can also be caused by a bad intermediate shaft bearing on transaxles with equal-length half shafts. On FWD vehicles with transverse-mounted engines, this kind of vibration can also be caused by loose or deteriorated engine/transaxle mounts. Be sure to inspect the rubber bushings in the engine's upper torque strap to rule out this possibility. A vibration or shudder that increases with speed or comes and goes at a certain speed may be the result of excessive play in an inner or outer joint. A bent axle shaft can cause the same problem. Note, however, that some shudder could also be inherent to the vehicle.
  • A cyclic vibration that comes and goes between 45 and 60 mph (72 and 100 km) may lead the technician to think there is a wheel that is out of balance. However, as a rule, an out-of-balance wheel produces a continuous vibration. A more likely cause is a bad inner tripod CV joint. The vibration occurs because one of the three roller tracks has become dimpled or rough. Every time the tripod roller on the bad track hits the rough spot, it creates a little jerk in the driveline, which the driver feels as a cyclic vibration.
  • If a noise is heard while driving straight ahead but it ceases while turning, the problem is usually not a defective outer CV joint but a bad front wheel bearing. Turning changes the side load on the bearing, which may make it quieter than before.
  • A vibration that increases with speed is rarely due to CV joint problems or FWD half shaft imbalance. An out-of-balance tire or wheel, an out-of-round tire or wheel, or a bent rim are the most likely causes. It is possible that a bent half shaft, as the result of collision or towing damage, could cause the vibration. A missing damper weight could also be the culprit.

Begin CV joint inspection by checking the condition of the boots.




Inspection points for a FWD vehicle.

Splits, cracks, tears, punctures, or thin spots caused by rubbing call for immediate boot replacement. If the boot appears rotted, this indicates improper greasing or excessive heat, and it should be replaced. Squeeze all boots. If any air escapes, replace the boot.

If the inner boot appears to be collapsed or deformed, venting it (allowing air to enter) might solve the problem. Place a round-tipped rod between the boot and drive shaft. This equalizes the outside and inside air and allows the boot to return to its normal shape.

Make sure that all boot clamps are tight. Missing or loose clamps should be replaced. If the boot appears loose, slide it back and inspect the grease inside for possible contamination. A milky or foamy appearance indicates water contamination. A gritty feeling when rubbed between the fingers indicates dirt. In most cases, a water- or dirt-contaminated joint should be replaced.

The drive axles should be checked for signs of contact or rubbing against the chassis. Rubbing can be a symptom of a weak or broken spring or engine mount, as well as chassis misalignment. On front-wheel-drive transaxles with equal-length half shafts, inspect the intermediate shaft U-joint, bearing, and support bracket for looseness by rocking the wheel back and forth and watching for any movement. Oil leakage around the inner CV joints indicates a faulty transaxle shaft seal. To replace the seal, the half shaft must be removed.


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等速万向联轴节及防尘套组件
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